Urielcd 2

You receive a win­ning lot­tery num­ber from the fu­ture. What is the prob­a­bil­ity of win­ning the lot­tery us­ing that num­ber?
Now, one might naively as­sume the chance is 100%. But in fact, the ac­tual prob­a­bil­ity is only slightly bet­ter than if you guessed ran­domly.
Time Travel and other subjects of speculation

_0800
“We got one!” yelled a balding man. His was suit ironed, his shirt stained, and an outdated phone in his hand. Three people walked in,a crowd all wearing a laminated tag identifying them as FBI agents. They were the UIU’s Temporal Division, or as everybody else called them, "The Fucking Time Cops", just got there 3rd or 100th or maybe the 1st (it depends on the day) case. “ We have a report of Can-Town repeating every hour. The Skippers gave us this case apparently, so be careful those Men in Black don’t get you first”.
“Are you sure we Can do this.” said Agent Zubia , “Yep, we’ll get this thing in time” replied an Agent B, “Those jokes suck” Said Agent Wetzel, “They’re not even puns." “SHUT UP” yelled the Captain, “Just go do your job, and maybe you’ll get a longer stay at where your going.”
"Were are we going?" asked Agent B.
"The happiest place on earth, of course."
And so, a trio walked of headquarters and booked a flight to the happiest place on earth. The flight itself was uneventful, but, was still good time for the three agents in first class.

_1200

Four hours later, A Crowd of Tourist emerges from the plane, they all have cameras, sunblock, and Hawaiian shirts. They look almost shocked when they realize where they were, they where really in Maryland. People start staring at them as a young man that his friends call Zubia starts yelling to the wind about a captain's bad joke.
___

"Calm Down Zubia, we still have a cart to get" said Wetzel, "But, We could have been at Disney World!" whined Zubia "We can still go to the disney© Store, will that make you feel better?" "Yah, I think that'll help Wetzel" "It's settled then, B., Zubia, you go to your princess store while I'll go do my job".
"Don't worry" said Zubia as Wetzel started to walk away "We'll get you your own dress"!

__1400

"Incoming Phone Call: The Boss" repeated the phone in Zubia's pocket, he however was not paying any attention until B. Alerted him "Hey Zubia it's your phone" In one side the other line started talking " Zubia, stop playing dress up, I found the cart, it's a town called waterview, we have a code 3825 I'll check it out, it's about one hour drive from the airport, get over here." Click " Hey B., let's go" "Where's the cart" asked B. "In a small town with strange people, cans, and folklore." "Ah Shit!"

___1558

"Thank god you found your way" said Wetzel " I was pretty sure you would stay at that toy store for an hours" "We got your call" said B., "What call?" "The one you sent 1400" replied Zubia "Isn't is 1400‽ Wait, let me see my call."replied Wetzel the phone started up,after Zubia attempted to open his calls, Wetzel took the phone and pressed play. "Zubia, stop playing dress up, I found the cart, it's a town called Waterview, we have a code 3825 I'll check it out, it's about one hour drive from the airport, get over here."Click "Wait"said Wetzel "I said I arrived at 1400, then you got here at 1400, Quick what time is it"! "1458"replied Zubia "Quick, I'll Call you and leave a message, the calls are stored online, so I can see it, Here give me the phone: Hi there me, your in a time loop, this is repeat number one, start now,time:1459 Wetzel out."

___1200

A Crowd of Tourist emerges from the plane, they all have cameras, sunblock, and Hawaiian shirts. They look almost shocked when they realize where they were, they where really in Maryland. People start staring at them as a man that his friends call B. starts yelling to the wind about a captain's bad joke. A young man was distracted by his phone having a notification: "1 new voicemail from: Zubia, Time 2:00pm"
___

"We have a very big problem" Zubia said while playing back a voicemail "Welp, it's our job to stop it" replied Wetzel. " I should'nt be to hard, we talk to ourselves" whimpered B. "Remember the manual. Just sending a message back to ourselves changes the time loop, plus, we still don't know when the loop starts, just when it ends." "But, we got the message when we arrived" said Zubia " I know, but our phones were off on the plane, so we could have gotten it in the air, making that the looped time starting point. For now we know at 1459 relative time, time resets."